V-Lab
Boston Omaha Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026
1 Day
5,974.26
decreased by 17.47
1 Week
5,731.13
decreased by 260.60
1 Month
7,398.46
increased by 1,406.73
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 25, 2017 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.7556 | 7.36*** |
| αARCH | 0.2015 | 9.68*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6539 | 31.61*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0359 | 4.37*** |
0.855
Persistence4d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7556 | 7.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2015 | 9.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6539 | 31.61*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0359 | 4.37*** |
Persistence:
0.855
Half-life:
4 days
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