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Boston Omaha Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026

1 Day

5,974.26

decreased by 17.47

1 Week

5,731.13

decreased by 260.60

1 Month

7,398.46

increased by 1,406.73

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Boston Omaha Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 25, 2017 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7556
7.36***
αARCH0.2015
9.68***
βGARCH0.6539
31.61***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0359
4.37***

0.855

Persistence

4d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7556
7.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2015
9.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6539
31.61***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0359
4.37***

Persistence:

0.855

Half-life:

4 days