V-Lab
Boston Omaha Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026
1 Day
4,552.12
1 Week
4,566.14
1 Month
7,123.42
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 25, 2017 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 56 | |
| αARCH | 0.1072 | 13.61*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8532 | 176.61*** |
| γleverage | -0.1072 | -4.88*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 1.10 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0302 | 3.23*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9658 | 124.06*** |
0.907
Persistence7d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1072 | 13.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8532 | 176.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1072 | -4.88*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.10 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0302 | 3.23*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9658 | 124.06*** |
Persistence:
0.907
Half-life:
7 days
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