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Bannari Amman Sugars Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026

1 Day

4,166.23

increased by 298.05

1 Week

5,332.18

increased by 1,464.00

1 Month

6,507.50

increased by 2,639.32

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 07:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bannari Amman Sugars Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 26, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 197 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

7.7159
1.39
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3535
4.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6430
7.89***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ11.0874
5.60***
γ2-2.5581
-6.76***
γ32.8674
6.65***
γ4-2.1651
-5.34***
γ51.2651
4.96***
γ6-0.9260
-5.93***
γ70.7715
5.75***
γ8-0.6942
-5.38***
γ90.6045
4.45***
γ10-0.2310
-1.22

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

197 days