V-Lab
Bannari Amman Sugars Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
3,891.59
1 Week
4,438.43
1 Month
6,187.02
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 07:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5397 | 0.09 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3854 | 11.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -0.04 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.10 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0442 | 0.10 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9558 | 55.28*** |
Persistence:
0.675
Half-life:
2 days
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