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Biafo Industries Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

649.71

increased by 25.90

1 Week

639.76

increased by 15.95

1 Month

848.84

increased by 225.03

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:07 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Biafo Industries Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 25, 2003 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3983 trading days (~15.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0873
4.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1626
7.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8372
39.77***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.1344
0.28
γ20.5428
0.87
γ3-5.1975
-5.43***
γ411.2155
4.77***
γ5-10.1775
-4.58***
γ64.4315
5.44***
γ7-2.1266
-5.06***
γ82.3138
3.43***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3983 days