V-Lab
Biafo Industries Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
669.45
1 Week
660.28
1 Month
881.30
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:07 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2003 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1473 | 0.06 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8486 | 8.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1473 | -0.03 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0683 | 0.08 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9317 | 3.87*** |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
9 days
Other Biafo Industries Ltd Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities