How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	1.0280	4.40***
αARCH	0.0769	0.24
βGARCH	0.9231	2.94***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	1.0280	4.40***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0769	0.24
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9231	2.94***

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Baillie Gifford Japan Trust PLC/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Baillie Gifford Japan Trust PLC/The Analyses