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Big Digital Energy Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

124,293.50

decreased by 2,677.70

1 Week

131,303.94

increased by 4,332.74

1 Month

165,226.29

increased by 38,255.09

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Big Digital Energy Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 22, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 231049 trading days (~916.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7151
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1673
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8327
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-25.1350
γ240.1103
γ3-25.2352
γ412.5458
γ51.3977
γ6-7.6706
γ77.4586
γ8-5.6694
γ93.0961

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

231049 days