V-Lab
Big Digital Energy Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
144,614.50
1 Week
125,919.66
1 Month
101,860.57
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 22, 2012 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.990, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 71 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2292 | 11.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8233 | 200.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1243 | -3.76*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.04 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0008 | 3.55*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9887 | 3,220.44*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
71 days
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