Skip to main content
V-Lab

Bairaha Farms Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

4,064.57

increased by 2,578.53

1 Week

1,809.24

increased by 323.20

1 Month

1,290.43

decreased by 195.61

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:36 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bairaha Farms ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 11, 1997 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 447 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.2462
4.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1500
6.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8485
34.56***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.2915
0.62
γ2-1.3110
-1.82*
γ32.7328
6.48***
γ4-3.7179
-12.27***
γ53.8657
8.84***
γ6-3.7353
-7.19***
γ73.8305
5.22***
γ8-4.3803
-4.43***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

447 days