V-Lab
Bairaha Farms ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
11,607.39
1 Week
4,664.58
1 Month
2,730.60
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:36 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 11, 1997 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4972 | 0.07 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5617 | 8.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.4972 | -0.03 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.08 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0297 | 0.07 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9703 | 165.62*** |
Persistence:
0.810
Half-life:
3 days
Other Bairaha Farms Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities