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Bati EGE Gayrimenkul Yatirim Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

819.36

decreased by 494.03

1 Week

1,017.06

decreased by 296.33

1 Month

826.13

decreased by 487.26

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 10:34 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Bati EGE Gayrimenkul Yatirim ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 8, 2023 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 15 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.0885
1.87*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5940
4.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3621
4.64***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.3225
1.13

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

15 days