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Bati EGE Gayrimenkul Yatirim Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

3,147.19

increased by 436.66

1 Week

3,048.46

increased by 337.93

1 Month

1,837.51

decreased by 873.02

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Bati EGE Gayrimenkul Yatirim ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 8, 2023 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 15 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.0735
1.84*
αARCH0.5875
4.77***
βGARCH0.3680
4.76***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.4434
1.74*

0.955

Persistence

15d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.0735
1.84*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5875
4.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3680
4.76***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.4434
1.74*

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days