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Bati EGE Gayrimenkul Yatirim Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

5,046.37

increased by 2,522.68

1 Week

3,923.88

increased by 1,400.19

1 Month

3,323.57

increased by 799.88

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 08:56 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Bati EGE Gayrimenkul Yatirim ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 8, 2023 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 17 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.0545
1.82*
αARCH0.5835
4.89***
βGARCH0.3760
4.84***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.4728
1.86*

0.959

Persistence

17d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.0545
1.82*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5835
4.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3760
4.84***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.4728
1.86*

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

17 days