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Krom Bank Indonesia Tbk PT Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

6,796.04

increased by 4,122.93

1 Week

3,603.77

increased by 930.66

1 Month

5,613.03

increased by 2,939.92

Analysis last updated: Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 04:29 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/06/2024

to

11/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Krom Bank Indonesia Tbk PT ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 7, 2020 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5875
2.22**
αARCH0.1407
3.99***
βGARCH0.7960
15.12***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.2410
0.04
γ2-2.4800
-0.33
γ36.9875
1.56
γ4-4.4922
-0.72
γ5-5.6763
-0.63
γ69.7657
1.06
γ7-7.4602
-0.82
γ8-0.5814
-0.06
γ916.4571
2.08**
γ10-22.4348
-2.17**

0.937

Persistence

11d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5875
2.22**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1407
3.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7960
15.12***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.2410
0.04
γ2-2.4800
-0.33
γ36.9875
1.56
γ4-4.4922
-0.72
γ5-5.6763
-0.63
γ69.7657
1.06
γ7-7.4602
-0.82
γ8-0.5814
-0.06
γ916.4571
2.08**
γ10-22.4348
-2.17**

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days