V-Lab
Krom Bank Indonesia Tbk PT Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
11,836.49
increased by 4,425.26
1 Week
8,041.09
increased by 629.86
1 Month
5,845.55
decreased by 1,565.68
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 7, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5423 | 2.76*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1147 | 3.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8258 | 15.55*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -2.4240 | -1.34 |
| γ2 | 5.8650 | 2.18** |
| γ3 | -5.8502 | -2.99*** |
| γ4 | 2.8891 | 1.68* |
| γ5 | -2.9215 | -1.77* |
| γ6 | 10.7832 | 5.45*** |
Persistence:
0.941
Half-life:
11 days
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