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Krom Bank Indonesia Tbk PT Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026

1 Day

11,836.49

increased by 4,425.26

1 Week

8,041.09

increased by 629.86

1 Month

5,845.55

decreased by 1,565.68

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Krom Bank Indonesia Tbk PT ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 7, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5423
2.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1147
3.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8258
15.55***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-2.4240
-1.34
γ25.8650
2.18**
γ3-5.8502
-2.99***
γ42.8891
1.68*
γ5-2.9215
-1.77*
γ610.7832
5.45***

Persistence:

0.941

Half-life:

11 days