V-Lab
Krom Bank Indonesia Tbk PT ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
6,905.15
1 Week
3,360.56
1 Month
3,155.24
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 7, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1075 | 0.16 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8797 | 47.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0434 | -0.03 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.21 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0813 | 0.25 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9150 | 5.44*** |
Persistence:
0.965
Half-life:
20 days
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