Skip to main content
V-Lab

Bali Towerindo Sentra Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

7,985.96

increased by 5,131.19

1 Week

3,651.15

increased by 796.38

1 Month

3,077.76

increased by 222.99

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:20 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bali Towerindo Sentra ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 13, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 68 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.0607
1.91*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2047
3.87***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7851
15.44***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-1.7571
-1.31
γ2-0.2374
-0.10
γ38.2065
5.40***
γ4-13.1302
-13.10***
γ511.9010
7.34***
γ6-7.2562
-3.47***
γ72.6143
1.52
γ8-0.5764
-0.31

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

68 days