How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	0.3922	0.19
αARCH	0.0113	0.61
βGARCH	0.9448	72.97***
γleverage	0.0876	1.02

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	0.3922	0.19
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0113	0.61
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9448	72.97***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0876	1.02

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Bali Towerindo Sentra Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Bali Towerindo Sentra Analyses