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Atlas Menkul Kiymetler Yatir Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

3,207.21

decreased by 480.97

1 Week

3,976.70

increased by 288.52

1 Month

4,035.88

increased by 347.70

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:08 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Atlas Menkul Kiymetler Yatir ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 28, 1995 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 251 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

8.4969
3.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1722
7.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8250
36.99***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.1295
-12.77***
γ20.2867
10.29***
γ3-0.2813
-6.47***
γ40.3000
5.13***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

251 days