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Atlas Menkul Kiymetler Yatir ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

2,348.02

decreased by 560.25

1 Week

3,384.69

increased by 476.42

1 Month

3,701.75

increased by 793.48

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:08 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Atlas Menkul Kiymetler Yatir ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 28, 1995 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2526
0.12
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6774
10.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2526
-0.06
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
2.09**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3050
0.37
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6950
0.42

Persistence:

0.804

Half-life:

3 days