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V-Lab

Allcargo Terminals Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

4,205.74

decreased by 213.59

1 Week

4,658.14

increased by 238.81

1 Month

5,803.28

increased by 1,383.95

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 06:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Allcargo Terminals Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 10, 2023 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7136
5.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1742
4.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6975
16.81***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0383
0.34

Persistence:

0.872

Half-life:

5 days