V-Lab
Allcargo Terminals Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
4,205.74
decreased by 213.59
1 Week
4,658.14
increased by 238.81
1 Month
5,803.28
increased by 1,383.95
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 06:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 10, 2023 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7136 | 5.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1742 | 4.51*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6975 | 16.81*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0383 | 0.34 |
Persistence:
0.872
Half-life:
5 days
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