V-Lab
Allcargo Terminals Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
4,522.95
1 Week
4,909.69
1 Month
5,988.69
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 06:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 10, 2023 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0558 | 1.62 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9492 | 128.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0558 | -1.33 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.04 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5157 | 1.94* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
Other Allcargo Terminals Ltd Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities