V-Lab
Lanka Realty Investments Plc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
7,865.98
increased by 7,067.60
1 Week
2,280.74
increased by 1,482.36
1 Month
1,565.43
increased by 767.05
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 11, 1997 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 262 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.6816 | 3.87*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1402 | 6.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8572 | 37.86*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -0.4609 | -0.83 |
| γ2 | 1.5991 | 1.77* |
| γ3 | -2.4499 | -3.76*** |
| γ4 | 3.1943 | 4.06*** |
| γ5 | -5.9903 | -2.59*** |
| γ6 | 8.7315 | 2.04** |
| γ7 | -5.9559 | -1.63 |
| γ8 | 0.3047 | 0.22 |
| γ9 | 1.7939 | 2.95*** |
| γ10 | -3.1989 | -3.08*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
262 days
Other Lanka Realty Investments Plc Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities