V-Lab
Lanka Realty Investments Plc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
9,966.81
1 Week
5,469.22
1 Month
5,094.16
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 11, 1997 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2480 trading days (~9.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1156 | 1.69* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8935 | 92.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0187 | -0.15 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.9957 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0209 | 2.24** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9791 | 232.12*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2480 days
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