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Almasar Alshamil Education Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026

1 Day

4,222.85

increased by 201.92

1 Week

4,566.87

increased by 545.94

1 Month

5,763.65

increased by 1,742.72

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 08:25 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/28/2024

to

09/28/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Almasar Alshamil Education Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 1, 2025 to Sep 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8627
5.50***
αARCH0.2861
3.79***
βGARCH0.5974
5.48***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.3067
-0.56

0.883

Persistence

6d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8627
5.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2861
3.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5974
5.48***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.3067
-0.56

Persistence:

0.883

Half-life:

6 days