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Almasar Alshamil Education Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

9,750.21

increased by 6,054.28

1 Week

4,980.18

increased by 1,284.25

1 Month

3,491.34

decreased by 204.59

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Almasar Alshamil Education Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 1, 2025 to Jul 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8771
5.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2837
3.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5906
3.98***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-8.5364
-1.91*

Persistence:

0.874

Half-life:

5 days