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V-Lab

Allfunds Group Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

5,515.34

increased by 2,105.13

1 Week

3,483.00

increased by 72.79

1 Month

2,703.67

decreased by 706.54

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Allfunds Group Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 23, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 40 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4585
5.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0866
5.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8962
52.09***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1376
-3.50***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days