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Allfunds Group Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

2,964.18

decreased by 197.09

1 Week

3,187.18

increased by 25.91

1 Month

3,361.12

increased by 199.85

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 01:26 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Allfunds Group Limited ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 23, 2021 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1020 trading days (~4.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1020 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.27
αARCH0.0538
2.67***
βGARCH0.9167
65.97***
γleverage0.0577
1.16

0.999

Persistence

1020d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.27
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0538
2.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9167
65.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0577
1.16

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1020 days