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Allfunds Group Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

5,079.90

increased by 1,224.52

1 Week

3,531.64

decreased by 323.74

1 Month

2,831.63

decreased by 1,023.75

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Allfunds Group Limited ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 23, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 737 trading days (~2.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 98% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.14
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0547
10.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9177
269.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0534
4.15***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

737 days