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Aeroflex Neu Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

10,072.20

increased by 4,752.42

1 Week

4,914.77

decreased by 405.01

1 Month

3,676.20

decreased by 1,643.58

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 06:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Aeroflex Neu Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 12, 2023 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1269 trading days (~5.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2101
2.45**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2470
8.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7525
26.71***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.6215
-2.22**

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1269 days