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Aeroflex Neu Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

8,640.82

increased by 4,313.16

1 Week

4,151.58

decreased by 176.08

1 Month

3,301.54

decreased by 1,026.12

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 06:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Aeroflex Neu Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 12, 2023 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 55% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.01
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1360
13.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8266
166.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0748
3.64***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days