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V-Lab

Profrac Holding Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

5,040.52

decreased by 223.60

1 Week

5,340.95

increased by 76.83

1 Month

5,082.01

decreased by 182.11

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Profrac Holding Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 13, 2022 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3863
6.98***
αARCH0.1026
5.36***
βGARCH0.8618
33.81***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1120
-2.53**

0.964

Persistence

19d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3863
6.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1026
5.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8618
33.81***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1120
-2.53**

Persistence:

0.964

Half-life:

19 days