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Profrac Holding Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

5,061.04

decreased by 110.30

1 Week

5,231.10

increased by 59.76

1 Month

5,296.79

increased by 125.45

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Profrac Holding Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 13, 2022 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.12
αARCH0.0643
2.44**
βGARCH0.9105
66.09***
γleverage0.0504
0.98

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.12
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0643
2.44**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9105
66.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0504
0.98

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-