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Austriacard Holdings AG Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

7,046.38

decreased by 538.13

1 Week

7,239.50

decreased by 345.01

1 Month

6,145.60

decreased by 1,438.91

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Austriacard Holdings AG ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 23, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 17 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5345
4.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2004
6.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7596
20.61***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.3275
-2.78***

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days