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Austriacard Holdings AG ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

7,765.28

decreased by 756.33

1 Week

8,166.59

decreased by 355.02

1 Month

6,704.55

decreased by 1,817.06

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Austriacard Holdings AG ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 23, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

86
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2391
7.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7311
90.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2345
-4.21***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9950
340.64***

Persistence:

0.853

Half-life:

4 days