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Kyoto Hotel Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

5,630.52

increased by 1,255.87

1 Week

4,686.13

increased by 311.48

1 Month

4,455.39

increased by 80.74

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:32 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kyoto Hotel Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 386 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2707
4.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0881
9.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9101
91.58***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0115
-2.31**

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

386 days