V-Lab
Kyoto Hotel Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
5,833.50
1 Week
4,886.37
1 Month
4,656.41
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:31 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 18, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0888 | 11.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9095 | 470.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0888 | -6.53*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.5813 | 32.83*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9987 | 1,730.81*** |
Persistence:
0.954
Half-life:
15 days
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