Skip to main content
V-Lab

Crops Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

16,672.67

decreased by 1,916.32

1 Week

17,727.28

decreased by 861.71

1 Month

9,458.30

decreased by 9,130.69

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:00 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Crops Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 11, 2005 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 66 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0616
4.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1797
14.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8098
57.57***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.1693
-10.77***
γ20.2808
11.16***
γ3-0.1337
-4.84***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

66 days