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Crops Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

17,018.11

decreased by 2,455.27

1 Week

18,487.68

decreased by 985.70

1 Month

9,478.83

decreased by 9,994.55

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:58 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Crops Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 11, 2005 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2029
0.48
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7532
87.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0169
-0.02
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.55
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0821
0.55
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9165
40.35***

Persistence:

0.948

Half-life:

13 days