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Project Holdings Inc /Japan Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

7,280.24

increased by 1,642.90

1 Week

6,541.63

increased by 904.29

1 Month

7,961.14

increased by 2,323.80

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:35 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Project Holdings Inc /Japan ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 29, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2849
3.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1785
3.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7302
11.95***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.5521
3.24***
γ2-1.1787
-3.87***

Persistence:

0.909

Half-life:

7 days