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Project Holdings Inc /Japan Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

7,798.78

increased by 1,450.04

1 Week

7,125.64

increased by 776.90

1 Month

8,357.94

increased by 2,009.20

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:35 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Project Holdings Inc /Japan ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 29, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 148% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2790
4.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0586
9.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8981
169.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0866
8.66***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-