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Him Intl Music Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026

1 Day

3,718.20

increased by 2,369.20

1 Week

2,158.21

increased by 809.21

1 Month

1,322.11

decreased by 26.89

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 25, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/24/2024

to

09/24/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Him Intl Music Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 26, 2012 to Sep 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~693147 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst13.3027
0.01
αARCH0.0925
0.01
βGARCH0.9075
0.05
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0717
0.00

1.000

Persistence

693147d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

13.3027
0.01
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0925
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9075
0.05
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0717
0.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days