V-Lab
Him Intl Music Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026
1 Day
1,227.73
decreased by 62.19
1 Week
1,272.76
decreased by 17.16
1 Month
960.07
decreased by 329.85
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 25, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 2012 to Sep 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 163 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~163 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.4235 | 0.21 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9499 | 21.46*** |
| γleverage | 0.0917 | 1.37 |
0.996
Persistence163d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.4235 | 0.21 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9499 | 21.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0917 | 1.37 |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
163 days
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