V-Lab
Nankai Plywood Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
4,665.13
increased by 2,206.70
1 Week
2,837.42
increased by 378.99
1 Month
2,496.31
increased by 37.88
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 22, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 20 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0480 | 3.68*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1002 | 9.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8660 | 59.58*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | -0.8859 | -6.73*** |
| γ2 | 1.5334 | 8.04*** |
| γ3 | -1.0714 | -7.09*** |
| γ4 | 0.5887 | 4.33*** |
| γ5 | -0.1819 | -1.32 |
| γ6 | 0.0259 | 0.18 |
| γ7 | -0.0042 | -0.03 |
| γ8 | -0.1705 | -1.04 |
Persistence:
0.966
Half-life:
20 days
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