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V-Lab

Nankai Plywood Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

4,665.13

increased by 2,206.70

1 Week

2,837.42

increased by 378.99

1 Month

2,496.31

increased by 37.88

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nankai Plywood Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 22, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 20 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0480
3.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1002
9.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8660
59.58***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.8859
-6.73***
γ21.5334
8.04***
γ3-1.0714
-7.09***
γ40.5887
4.33***
γ5-0.1819
-1.32
γ60.0259
0.18
γ7-0.0042
-0.03
γ8-0.1705
-1.04

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days