V-Lab
Nankai Plywood Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
5,455.14
1 Week
3,111.18
1 Month
2,705.10
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 22, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1044 | 0.53 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8153 | 87.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1044 | -0.26 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.83 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5142 | 1.38 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4858 | 0.80 |
Persistence:
0.868
Half-life:
5 days
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