V-Lab
Dreambed Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
9,651.82
decreased by 2,690.33
1 Week
7,099.57
decreased by 5,242.58
1 Month
3,854.86
decreased by 8,487.29
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 23, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0409 | 12.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2467 | 5.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5226 | 7.25*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0913 | -3.72*** |
Persistence:
0.769
Half-life:
3 days
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