V-Lab
Dreambed Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
5,155.54
increased by 145.81
1 Week
4,189.22
decreased by 820.51
1 Month
3,301.16
decreased by 1,708.57
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 23, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.21 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0368 | 9.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9554 | 366.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0154 | 1.90* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
Other Dreambed Co Ltd Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities