V-Lab
Hushan Autoparts Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
3,474.88
decreased by 30,108.06
1 Week
8,218.86
decreased by 25,364.08
1 Month
4,918.26
decreased by 28,664.68
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 27, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 30 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1276 | 0.87 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.9769 | 16.49*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -4.1985 | -2.13** |
| γ2 | 7.8963 | 2.56** |
| γ3 | -8.6959 | -3.42*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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