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V-Lab

Micreed Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

3,622.79

decreased by 351.59

1 Week

4,330.83

increased by 356.45

1 Month

7,051.09

increased by 3,076.71

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Micreed Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 169 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2501
4.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1684
10.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8275
51.54***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0321
0.52

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

169 days