V-Lab
Micreed Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026
1 Day
3,422.36
1 Week
4,137.03
1 Month
6,864.86
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 16, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1614 | 2.26** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8418 | 173.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0593 | -0.46 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.5445 | 8.55*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9957 | 256.23*** |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
26 days
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