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V-Lab

Micreed Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

3,422.36

decreased by 350.00

1 Week

4,137.03

increased by 364.67

1 Month

6,864.86

increased by 3,092.50

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Micreed Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1614
2.26**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8418
173.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0593
-0.46
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.5445
8.55***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9957
256.23***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days