Nansin Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
5,918.04
increased by 2,562.99
1 Week
4,118.23
increased by 763.18
1 Month
4,195.90
increased by 840.85
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 2, 1996 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 60 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2608 | 4.93*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1011 | 11.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8873 | 89.67*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -0.0448 | -3.46*** |
| γ2 | 0.0917 | 4.10*** |
| γ3 | -0.1193 | -3.91*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
60 days
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