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Nansin Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

6,480.45

increased by 2,501.93

1 Week

4,553.35

increased by 574.83

1 Month

3,738.46

decreased by 240.06

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nansin Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 2, 1996 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 60 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2690
4.93***
αARCH0.1002
11.27***
βGARCH0.8883
90.22***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.0425
-3.37***
γ20.0873
4.07***
γ3-0.1164
-4.03***

0.989

Persistence

60d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2690
4.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1002
11.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8883
90.22***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.0425
-3.37***
γ20.0873
4.07***
γ3-0.1164
-4.03***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

60 days