Nansin Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
6,933.03
1 Week
5,183.25
1 Month
5,273.81
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 2, 1996 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0995 | 2.48** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8945 | 361.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0995 | -1.30 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.0453 | 6.93*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0022 | 2.84*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9956 | 446.47*** |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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