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Retty Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

8,341.92

increased by 4,929.93

1 Week

4,210.13

increased by 798.14

1 Month

3,954.73

increased by 542.74

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 08:01 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Retty Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 30, 2020 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 110 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~110 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6067
4.49***
αARCH0.1805
9.10***
βGARCH0.8132
40.14***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1501
-2.64***

0.994

Persistence

110d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6067
4.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1805
9.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8132
40.14***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1501
-2.64***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

110 days