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Retty Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

8,163.32

increased by 4,812.59

1 Week

4,281.29

increased by 930.56

1 Month

4,515.92

increased by 1,165.19

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 08:01 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Retty Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 30, 2020 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.9126
2.76***
αARCH0.1391
6.62***
βGARCH0.8436
57.01***
γleverage0.0346
0.88

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.9126
2.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1391
6.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8436
57.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0346
0.88

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-